DDI Markets W47/22 – A Distracted and Thankful week ahead
3 min read![DDI Markets W47/22 – A Distracted and Thankful week ahead DDI Markets W47/22 – A Distracted and Thankful week ahead](https://dsimpson6thomsoncooper.com/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/Essential-Strategy-For-Big-Data-DataDrivenInvestor-1024x279.png)
1 min read
FIFA World Cup . A look at inflation numbers . Thanksgiving holidays . FTX Bankruptcy & US Sports Stars
Update: after Asian Market Close 21.11.22 Monday
- China reported its first Covid-related death in almost six months, leading to negative performance of HSI (-1.87%) & HSCEI (-2.02%), as investors fear a ramp-up of Covid-related restrictions in China again.
- This is definitely one of the risk factors that dampen A BULLISH consensus for Chinese shares is emerging on Wall Street
- Major Asian indices are all negative for the day except for Nikkei 225 (+0.16%) and Thai SET (+0.09%)
MAJOR MARKET MOVEMENT (Week of 14 Nov 22, W46)
- MSCI China Index extended its gain by 4.2% this week, up 24% from recent lows.
- A shortened trading week in US market due to Thanksgiving holidays.
THE NOTABLE
FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022 and market behavior (20 November to 18 December)
- Research from Dr. Philip Drummond of Monash University has found that home equity markets suffer reduced liquidity during games.
- Investors should anticipate possible pullback in markets as short-term traders lock in gains ahead of the Nov US CPI release and the December FOMC meeting near mid-Dec.
US Inflation to Remain Uncomfortably High for a While
- US inflation seems to have peaked at 9.1% in Jun 22, gradual down trending to 7.7% in Oct 22.
![](https://media.datadriveninvestor.com/uploads/2022/11/Untitled-620x363.png)
- Despite improvement, inflation is forecasted to remain uncomfortably high for a while.
- Investors should not be overly optimistic with FED pivoting with rate cut. Slowing down of rate increase is on the cards should the decreasing trend of CPI continues.
![Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/w_2538,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2cf45844-21d5-4bc8-9476-7476fc6928c8_1269x886.jpeg)
FTX Bankruptcy & US sports stars
- Naomi Osaka and Tom Brady among US sports stars named in FTX deceptive practices lawsuit.
- The celebrities helped promote the cryptocurrency exchange, which declared bankruptcy in the US last week.
- A lesson for investors, don’t let your love for the sports stars equate with how much they know about financial instruments.
- I’ve noticed an increase in celebrity endorsement of financial products in my home country and it is worrying, at least for me.
RETURN DRIVERS
The VP Bank Supply Chain Index 3 Nov: Things are looking brighter as the index continues on its recovery path, meaning that supply chains are again functioning significantly better. The improvements reflect a better inventory situation in the EU.
![](https://media.datadriveninvestor.com/uploads/2022/11/Untitled-1-620x324.png)
A BULLISH consensus for Chinese shares is emerging on Wall Street
![](https://media.datadriveninvestor.com/uploads/2022/11/Untitled-2.png)
- After the conclusion of the Nation People’s Congress, President Xi Jinping has turned his attention to fixing the world’s second-largest economy, with a mini Covid pivot and a detailed 16-point support plan.
- PBOC/ CBIRC supportive policies can be summarized as follows: 1) lending support for developers; 2) strong focus on project completion; 3) easing of mortgage repayment pressures; 4) support credit flow for M&A, rental and retirement homes; and 5) market-based approach to handle credit stresses.
- With such strong fiscal and monetary support from the Chinese government, it is definitely time to look for gems in the Chinese stock market.
- In fact, some of the China Reopening beneficiaries have begun to outperform since July.
![](https://media.datadriveninvestor.com/uploads/2022/11/Untitled-3.png)
Goldman Sachs is overweighting the following sectors.
![](https://media.datadriveninvestor.com/uploads/2022/11/Untitled-4.png)
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